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Debt
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Saving is taking a back seat to spending (part 2)
December 21, 2006
Continued from..
Another big reason we have a negative savings rate currently
is the jolt in home pricing that has been taking place over
the past 5 years (until recently that is). This gave US
spenders the belief that they could rely on equity instead
of traditional saving. These are the same people who took
out the home equity loans mentioned above.
This is where the overspending comes in. By taking out these
home equity loans and refinancing their homes, they bough a
bunch of house hold upgrades causing them to actually spend
more than they take home in pay.
So, now that we are seeing a true slow down in the real
estate market, there will be a lot less spending in the next
year or so. Consumers simply will not be able to spend at
the same rate they do now that is for sure if you consider
the finding we have now. This will hit the economy as well.
On the other hand, you have economists that think the
current negative rate over states the concern of consumption
against savings. These economists say that the savings rate
does not take into consideration issues like money going
into bank accounts, 401(k)s and other retirement plans or
even mutual funds. What's more, does it measure equity
accrued in people's homes? These economists also look to
gains in household net worth even though the negative
savings rate is taking place as a sign that the normal
household is breaking even, and will keep on consuming
because of it.
From what we can see in our minor experience here at
DebtFree24.com is that the negative savings is still small
(0.6% negative) enough that future changes to income or
spending predictions may turn out to become positive once
again. After all, the saving rate is still teetering on the
zero mark. Well, if we stop paying attention to this rate,
we could end up in a much worse place. It all depends on how
conservative you are on the matter. If you are someone who
is struggling with financial issues and debt, you need to
think of this article as a wake up call.
So, we may believe that spending is high compared to
earnings, but we should also consider total outstanding
wealth to consumer spending – if you do look at it – you
will see that the spending is low. Keep in mind, if you are
reading this debt free article, you are most likely someone
who is visiting this site for financial issues you may be
having – if so, you are not the outstanding wealth.
The most important thing we can all take away from this debt
free article is that we need to be better at understanding
our economy.
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